mynameis832 wrote...
I imagine disease will be a mostly third-world thing. All the diseases you mention, save cancer (which is really the rich man's problem) still kill millions a year in places like africa and asia. The fact we have a cure for tuberculosis does not mean that everyone gets it in time, or at all.
Disease really isn't that much of killer in developed nations... it just isn't. There are scattered deaths, but they generally affect the already old or weak. In the future superbugs might cause a few epidemics, but actual threats would probably be dealt with quickly. I worry more about autoimmune disease from LACK of exposure to disease, which is killing more and more people in developed nations each year.
Well remember heart disease and cancer are very much diseases, and are top killers in America. I think everyone here means
infectious diseases, given what we've been saying.
While I'm opposed to all forms of millennialism, there is a very realistic threat of new viral emergence, and even bacterial emergence. Simply put, the widespread usage of antibiotics in the 20th century has selected for antibiotic-resistance in pathogens. Penicillin revolutionized disease treatment after its discovery in 1928; nowadays, so many bacteria possess the gene beta-lactamase (which breaks open and neutralizes the drug), that both types of penicillin are ineffective against many strains of infectious bacteria.
Viruses present an even greater threat, because they evolve soooo much faster. One of the biggest problems in fighting HIV is that it's genome changes so rapidly, that it can easily be selected for resistance to whatever you just threw at it. It's going to be constant battle between researchers inventing new drugs and viruses developing resistance to those drugs for a long time.
Also, there are these things called prions, which are basically misfolded proteins that can cause disease. They don't evolve nearly as quickly as nucleic acid, but they are virtually indestructible, so that's kinda scary.
Of course, the important thing to keep in mind, is that human
extinction is not a realistic possibility in any part of the foreseeable future. However, a rise in global pandemics, leading to significant parts of the population being incapacitated and burgeoning healthcare costs, would severely detract from mankind's standard of living. #
FirstHumanworldproblems