Lollikittie wrote...
Industrialized nations like ours, and Europe. While Europe is experiencing slight but noticeable decline, and ours is as well, while still remaining within a total growth state. The decline of growth is not nearly enough for a baby boom to be even remotely necessary. A ban on abortion would create a boom so huge, that we'd, well, be totally
screwed.
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005067.html
While looking at history, we see that in fact during the war years, the birth rate decreased drastically. The "Boom" as it were, recovered 5% of those births that were lost, but still a slight decrease from the higher numbers in the early 19th century. The decline has continued ever since, and the scary part is these last 30 or so years have been in relative peace time!
I'd also like to refer you to this:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/12/census-hispanics-and-black-unseat-whites-as-majority-in-united-states-population_n_2286105.html
There's nothing to celebrate about this, native Americans cultivated the homeland. The European-English State has now dissolved and to quote the article itself.
"The challenge is educating these immigrants" Yes, quite a challenge when these immigrants can't even stay in class!
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/25/education/25ellis.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
I remember discussing with my homeroom teacher about this matter, and she told me of the difficulties of having to teach classes, months at a time with these immigrants leaving. As a result, they didn't learn anything at all.
A majority of this probably has to do with Deportation, and to be sure there've been quite a few successes economically, politically and socially by minorities.
But, in spite of Liberal Theory the reality is that the exception
is not the norm
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703894304575047321179743554.html
There was a similar discussion in the controversial thread surrounding the supposed stereotypes of African-Americans. Thomas Sowell pointed out that African-Americans, as well as peoples of all races faced different challenges, logically in different lands.
Doesn't mean they can't, but it does mean I'm not holding my breath for the minorities among us to take hold of the senior positions in this country and do them as well and as effectively as those who were born here, cultivated in the language and the lifestyle and appreciate it.
In addition to that, as I pointed out in our previous link, said immigrant births are also declining along with our native ones. America faces a future, a decade or more from now of a lack of leadership, a lack of identity. Hell, we face this now in the form of the heated political debates.
Our "Diversity" has led to the destruction of the union, true universalism can only be achieved through individual acceptance. Instead, Liberal Theorists have tried to achieve universalism by putting people in a borg hive.
One cannot preach understanding, yet forcing others to join together when they have different tastes, cultural understandings, etc.
Lolikittie wrote...
China has been micromanaging their population with stringent procreation policies. The result? A noticeable tapering off in population - they're well on their way to stability due to 'treating their population like cattle'. I don't exactly support or condone the way they punish having more than one child, but considering our population is actually growing [a modest and perfectly acceptable rate of .61%, the average american family has about 2 kids, which is the replacement rate - creating a stable population.
The link I posted above:
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005067.html Shows that our live birth rate is actually declining, if our live birth rate is declining then it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that our total population growth is declining.
In addition, that Huffington article I posted and this article will show you a stark contrast to your opinions: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57547709/aging-baby-boomer-drivers-a-growing-concern/
The population is aging, perhaps not as much of an epidemic as in Japan and other countries, but nearing those levels well enough. As more baby boomers enter retirement, or worse yet force themselves to work due to lack of retirement benefiits(and their own abilities decline), the work stoppage will increase.
As I mentioned before, in my last post to you that this is a large part of why the young adults continue to face unemployment challenges. We have to make a transition, sooner rather than later.
Lolikittie wrote...
Our abortion rates, birth control availability, education system, and statuses of women in our society are attributing to the
stable population. Inducing a baby boom during a
stable/replacement/levelling is grotesquely socially irresponsible. Baby booms are only necessary during
severely declining and aging population trends. For example: Sweden or Italy.
You mean, like the one we're going through? As you mention earlier, our TFR is 2.06, that's not too far off from the U.K and technically we have about half a birth more than Japan. Is that really the replacement rate?
An article I posted in the previous post, identified that there are a few families who exceed the perceived two child limit. Those families in a sense, are carrying the weight of those who do two or less children. With a bit of adjustment, you see we really aren't performing as well off as you think.
From a socio-economic perspective, I want us to match India's current rate of production. Around 2.5-2.7. If we did that, when the baby boomers retire/die off, we'll be able to replace the production.
You cannot replace more with less, you generally try to match or exceed it. I want our birth rate to be always at the 18-21 per 1000 ratio.
To put our situation in perspective, we have only 1/4th of our population under age 15, 1/4th!
http://www.globalhealthfacts.org/data/topic/map.aspx?ind=98 Then there's this.
Being realistic, are we worse off than third/second world countries? No, but are we struggling among developed countries? Yep, we're right smack dab in the middle. And that's not good enough.
http://www.globalhealthfacts.org/data/topic/map.aspx?ind=81
I want to lower this number down, it's currently at 37 years, with a new boom I could have it at 33-35 years. I would prolong our country's prosperity.
LustfulAngel wrote...
No, these problems deal with overspending in a vast variety of areas, most of them politically-oriented. Hundreds of millions that you nor I see in our pocket book. India has recently taken to investing more in its infrastructure, they are correct to be optimistic about that.
Lolikittie wrote...
Their methods have not shown any noticeable effects as of currently. Many, many families [especially those in poorer areas] continue to have large families, since it is a patriarchal society, many of them have children until they give birth to a boy. Their TFR is 2.6, and has shown decline in recent years. The future generations will experience the fruits of their labor, but the current population and conditions are still deplorable.
Things won't change overnight, but it wasn't all that long ago when the world was singing India's praises. The problems there are more correctable then here at home, India doesn't have to deal with the same type of political correctness, corruption, etc.
If they had stayed at around 2.6, they wouldn't face the problems they face now. So I think they're at a good place now. 2.5 is a good number to make up for the margin of error.(IE: We probably aren't exactly at 2.0 Maybe a little higher, likely a little lower.)
Because of said Margin points, traditionally it's accepted that the larger the percentage is, the less of an impact the margin has on the results.
Lolikittie wrote...
1. We're discussing America's population, not the world's. Those other country's populations are their business, unless you suggest that we have a baby boom, and outsource
all our excess children to Germany, Italy, and other parts of Europe instead. I personally think that's a fine idea, albeit bizarre and ridiculous.
2. Death levels the playing field in tribal, stage 1 development. Because of western medicine, life expectancy is decades and decades longer than that, to the point that all the necessary services essential to an elder individual is a severe drain on the economy.
I find that's incorrect, let's look at this graph.
http://mappinghistory.uoregon.edu/english/US/US39-01.html It ends at 2000, so you'd think it'd be irrelevant in terms of data, right?
Wrong: http://www.whiteoutpress.com/articles/q12012/2012-life-expectancy-us-second-to-last479/ Not only has our Life Expectancy not increased since its peak in 2000, it's actually decreased(slightly).
But basically, our western medicine has basically doubled our life expectancy. Do we really want a base of death at the age of 40? I contend to you that there aren't too many mouths to feed. Quite the contrary, I contend to you that there's wasted product and production inefficency.
Lolikittie wrote...
The baby boomer generation will continue to get older, because our obsession with immortality has devoted western medicine towards lengthening lives as long as physically possible.
As noted above, they're doing a pretty awful job.(No improvements since the start of the 21st century).
Lolikittie wrote...
That decline is indeed worth consideration. Outlawing abortion is not the solution, and our population is nowhere near crisis for drastic measures to be called for. It will be a while before measures will need to be taken to increase the growth again.
This isn't entirely(or mostly) to boost population numbers, though I want to do that. This is to recreate the economic boom of the 60's. The higher the demand for jobs, the more people will work to actually meet that demand. That was the Revolution that transformed America.
In addition to the lowering birth rate, we've also shipped out a mass of our manufacturing jobs.
http://www.digitalmanufacturingreport.com/dmr/2013-01-16/huge_loss_of_u.s._manufacturing_jobs_triggered_by_china_trade_decision.html
The combination of lessening demand and production has devastated the U.S. Economy. And I've explained my Abortion stance before, the tldr version is that women are endangered through the abortion decision, we're all zygotes and fetuses. The only difference being we've developed our bodily functions.
The argument that some have made is that the fetus is a parasite, but if the fetus is a parasite then that argument is true for all of us. It's not a parasite, it is a
merger between the life of the fetus and the carrier.
For proof, kangaroo's have a pouch. Birds have nests. When a predator tries to attack the eggs or the new born babies, they get their asses kicked. They clearly don't see their newborns as parasitical.
I think we're seeing the limitation and degradation of the Human mind, where our feelings of love and apathy are going to such lows that we can look at fellow human life as parasitical.
LustfulAngel wrote...
We can no longer count on immigrant babies to help push this up. No, it's time to start promoting population growth. Population growth will lead to economic demand, demand will result in production.
Lolikittie wrote...
No, it is not time to start promoting population growth. We are not in crisis. Yes, our population is levelling and aging - it is nowhere near a state where a baby boom is necessary -
As of 2012, our TFR is 2.06. The replacement rate is 2. We're fine, the dramatics are completely unnecessary. If you click on 'Birth Rate' and 'Death Rate' for the U.S. - Our Birth Rate is 13.68, and our Death Rate is 8.39 - that's a total population
growth of .61%. That's -with- all our measures of contraception and abortion in place.
I've been going about this debate with you all wrong. So the only time we need to promote population growth is in a crisis? I disagree, if you feel as though we need to stay ahead of the population and cull it, I basically feel the opposite:
Lolikittie wrote...
Yes. America was still small enough and under-developed enough for that specific type of population phenomenon to be beneficial. There was still plenty of untouched land for a boom on construction and demands for job opportunities to provide a thriving economy.
Our current environmental state is far past that. You said it yourself - our world is an organism. We have neglected it. What, exactly, do you think happens when we start having babies? They require space. More of it. Which means more construction, which means even more deforestation and land clearing. More mouths to feed, which means even more depletion of resources and funding. Our population is just beginning to reach a stable replacement state. Inducing a baby boom with our economy and population is thoroughly ridiculous and entirely unnecessary.
As I've proved earlier, our production has dropped significantly, we've shifted off our wealth to other nations, in fact we feel like nation building around the world! As such, I don't think we're lacking in land space. And there'll always be a demand for jobs, but the difference is in the volume of demand.
By making it beneficial for families to have babies, I'm artificially jacking up the demand. The Government, laughably enough, believes it can jack up demand with lesser prices. It doesn't matter if the prices are low, if people can't buy anything.
Another thing, these abortions are expensive, hence the Planned Parenthood funding. I don't even think health insurance companies want to foot the bill. So along with the health and ethical concerns, there's concern from an economic standpoint.
Lolikittie wrote...
Legal abortion is keeping our population where it is. Where it is, and where it's headed, is a good place. At a certain point in the
distant future, mild but increasing incentives for more children may be necessary. Regardless, we are
years away from that.
By 2018, the revolution of diversity would have ended majority rule in the American Continent and we'll be left with a bunch of indians, but no chiefs. That future is a lot sooner than you think. I want to avert that future altogether. Japan has tried a flux of immigration(as has Europe) with failed results.
If a guest visits your house, would he care as much for that house as you would? Of course not. And as I pointed out above, with a margin for error, I don't think we're neatly at 2.0(Nor do I think that really covers the replacement value). 2.5 is a much better number).
Lolikittie wrote...
Our growing country, is still growing. You're getting overly excited and piddling yourself over figures about our global welfare, that is not yet relevant. The very fact you mention our global state at all, is not relevant because this thread is about the merits and grievances regarding the
legalization or penalization of abortion in the United States of America.
I discussed the need for us to bring more lives into the world, not less. And how doing so would artifically jack up demand, which would then create jobs. Also, it needn't be mentioned but Stalin had a bunch of people murdered, he conditionally micromanaged the economy and millions of Russians suffered for it.
In our support for an open-ended abortion policy, and now the idea that we can throw women into the hells of war, it supports the truism, we needn't fear foreign agents.
I fear this citizenry, you can convince them of anything but their own ideas. True incompetence.