Anesthetize wrote...
42 wrote...
The world is
not overpopulated, it only might seem so because
urban areas have much more people than the rest, the population is not spread evenly. The
population growth is decreasing by itself, and in
some areas of Europe is already negative and is becoming an issue. The
average fertility rate of most countries except for africa is around 1-3 kids per woman. The antibiotics boom have wore off already.
There is not a lack of food either except for africa, nor will there be in the future. In fact,
people are eating more and obesity is becoming a problem. Even many places in africa are getting more food over the last years, and even there,
people get in average at least enough to be healthy.
Here's a comparison of the energy consumption of 50 years ago with in recent years, and this with the increase in population in the last 50 years:
1961
2000-2003
And you tell me there is a lack of food?
And resource production
does follows consumption, its the supply and demand rule. There is
very little land being used for production (in percentage of total area), because it is enough to feed everyone. If food supply really starts to be a problem, then production would naturally increase to keep up with the demand, just like it did in the past. Technology advance is already making it possible to produce more in less land space and with less effort, there is nothing to be done about that. And this “not enough technology being created” is also bullshit. Or you think all the improvement in all sectors on the last decades is just a lie? No better incentive to new technologies than capitalism, better technology, more profit, there will always be researches on all areas due to that.
And
if it ever becomes a problem, then there is nothing to do about it, the problem will solve itself over time, because before food starts being a problem, it will become more expensive, and so people would naturally have less kids, as it would be more expensive to create them, and not only because of food.
Also, there is nothing to be done about global warming, because it is a natural occurrence. The Earth has cold and hot cycles over the centuries, and that is nothing we can do anything about. Don't tell me “oh, but its getting more hot than normal now”, Medieval times weather was warmer than ours. We are not contributing that much.
Also, isn't global warming a scam?
Yes, it is. Just like all the crap that says the natural disasters are our fault.
I remember people predicting global warming doomsday since the 80s (the heat would get so huge it would destroy our crops and civilization as we know it), and they always said in the next 10 to 20 year the heat would have changed mankind, and always failing their predictions, just to postpone the doomsday again and get even more fanatic on their rants. This goes back to Lovelock Gaia's Hypothesis. Really it is just a new age doomsday belief like any other, but this one is cool. The media and the masses love it.
This post is good until you got to the part about global warming and food production. (apart from the part where you ignore that most future population growth will come out of Africa/Asia where food production/resources is actually problem) Firstly, you used wikipedia as a source, lol nope. Secondly what you don't realize is that not every piece of land is suitable for agricultural production. I don't think mountains or deserts are a very suitable place to farm. Also agricultural suitable land doesn't last forever, like everything it eventually decays until the soil is unusable and you have to move to another location. Thirdly, you forget that climate plays a pretty big role, i mean GL trying to produce bananas in a non-tropic environment or rice on-mass in the southern hemisphere. And lastly, countries that consume the most food ie China have run out of land themselves, they are outsourcing into buying land off other countries in Africa and even here in NZ to feed their massive population leaving very little for the people in Africa to grow.
First, I did not ignore that. I specifically excluded africa from the lack of food and fertility issues, thereby acknowledging the issue. However, the topic at hand is "world", not "africa" or "asia". If you want to discuss how africa in specific is going to get its population increased and lack food, then I guess you should create a new topic.
Second: Yes, wikipedia is not the greatest source of information, but to completely dismiss because it is wikipedia? Really? I used wikipedia graphics because they had better colors and had a map with it, better presentation, that is the point of wikipedia, easy knowledge. I found sources with more detailed info on land use, for instance, but it was a list of countries with numbers, not really as easy to get the info across. That info is based on solid facts that don't change, most sources will all have very similar information, data is data, the only thing that changes is their interpretation, but not the data. But if you want it anyways:
Population growth rate:
CIA (Current)
World Bank (1980 to current)
United States Census Bureau (1950 to present and estimate)
Fertility rate:
CIA
World Bank
Land in use for temporary crops (arable land):
I'd also like to add here that the total use of land for the entire world is 10%, forgot to put it earlier.
CIA
World Bank
Population density:
World Bank
NRCS
SEDAC
City Mayors
BMI:
WHO
FindTheData
Imperial College London
The main source of information for kcal consumption site (The Food and Agriculture Organization) is not working properly, though, so gonna be missing that one, unless you don't mind me taking plenty of links which got their info from that site, but it would be rather pointless.
Third: Not my point. Most countries are between 20% and 2% of land use. Such low percentage, for many of them, is far from being all the land there is. Brazil, the 5th largest country, has almost no mountains, and a good climate for planting something all over. It uses less than 9% of its land. Will you honestly say that is as high as it gets? Some countries are bordering their limits, in special small ones, or those with too much useless areas, sure, but my point is to show that there is plenty of land in the world as a whole to be used.
Fourth: There are already solutions and preventions for land degradation today. Technology advance, hey. Malthus didn't teach population alarmists anything?
Fifth: Are you serious with this one? So because I can't plant apples (a cold climate plant) in hot areas, does this mean I can't plant anything there at all? I'm sorry, but I shouldn't even be needing to explain this. If a portion of land is suitable for planting
something, then it can be used for planting that something. You plant tropical stuff in areas with tropical climate, cold climate stuff in areas with cold climate and so on. I don't think life in north america will suddenly be threatened by a shortage of bananas in Brazil.
And last: China exports a huge amount of goods to countries all over the world, including food. They are not producing to supply themselves only, but other countries as well. I don't see how this adds to anything. They are aggressive mass-producers, its no wonder they've started to use almost all of their land for that.
Also climate change isn't a scam rofl, unless you want to say your research and knowledge de-bunk the top scientists in the world with some new evidence you've discovered? Climate change is a natural process yes, but it's no secret that humans have contributed a significant role into forwarding and speeding up this process. I would provide articles but all you have to do is do a 5 minute google search yourself and you'll find dozens of publishing's. Comparing the middle ages to now is complete non-sense and is irrelevant to anything but a stupid strawman. Pollution, inefficient practices, climate change and waste from over-consumption of a massive population is destroying our eco-system and environment and is driving the extinction of species; there is no subjective in that. And it is that which is the real impeding issue here which everyone seems to be ignoring.
I don't do any research at all, I just read papers. And I mean scientific papers, not journalistic articles. It requires a lot more than simply 5 minutes on google. And yes, there is a lot of knowledge inside these papers that disprove previous papers about global warming. That is the beautiful thing about science, it's always correcting itself when something goes wrong. The global warming per human cause is not a confirmed hypothesis, nor it is a consensus between all scientists. They are always finding facts which put previous notions in check. So talking about ecological doomsday scenarios is nothing but faith.
And the point of the MWP argument is that if the earth was hot before we could do anything that we're supposedly doing to destroy it, the current warming period can also not be caused by us, can be just a natural oscillation. CO2, CFC and any other "pollution" crap we produced were already proven to not be produced in quantities high enough to threat life itself, or be the major cause of the current global warming, by scientific papers, in the same way IPCC claimed MWP was local when it was global. Science changes.
Pollution can in fact interfere in localized system. But globally? Serious evidence proves otherwise.
I'm still waiting for the global crop destroyer heatwaves that we were warned in the 80s that should supposedly come by 2010 to actually appear and destroy civilization, probably I'll still be waiting for it 30 years from now as they warn today.